Austrian Economics Forum: manfred -

manfred -----

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10-February 05
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Jun 16 2009 01:10 PM

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Name:
Peter Sidor
Occupation:
IT worker

   manfred

  1. EU constitution derailed

    13 Jun 2008

    Today, the Irish have spoken in the name of many that weren't asked, and actually dared to say No.

    In case you didn't know, there was a referendum about the European 'Constitution' (Treaty of Lisbon), pretty much the same document that failed to pass the last time. After some cosmetic changes, the 277-page document was offered again, this time without bothering to ask The People, to make sure their best interests are followed, even if it should be against their outspoken will. It passed in most states. However, the Irish have a provision in their constitution that requires a referendum on this matter.

    The noble bureaucrats were stunned, as there "was no plan B". If just a single country rejects the Treaty, it fails; that was the plan. Some are already suggesting that the ratification should continue anyway. We'll see how this unwinds.


    http: //www.timesonli...icle4133769. ece
    http://www. bloomberg...6...BE&refer=uk
    http://www.monstersa. ..rish_referendum
    . ..and more
  2. On experts and growth

    1 Jun 2008

    QUOTE
    "The report of the World Bank Growth Commission, led by Nobel laureate Michael Spence, was published last week. After two years of work by the commission of 21 world leaders and experts, an 11- member working group, 300 academic experts, 12 workshops, 13 consultations, and a budget of $4m, the experts’ answer to the question of how to attain high growth was roughly: we do not know, but trust experts to figure it out.

    "This conclusion is fleshed out with statements such as: 'It is hard to know how the economy will respond to a policy, and the right answer in the present moment may not apply in the future.' Growth should be directed by markets, except when it should be directed by governments.

    "My students at New York University would have been happy to supply statements like these to the World Bank for a lot less than $4m.

    "Why should we care about the debacle of a World Bank report? Because this report represents the final collapse of the 'development expert' paradigm that has governed the west’s approach to poor countries since the second world war. All this time, we have hoped a small group of elite thinkers can figure out how to raise the growth rate of a whole economy. If there was something for “development experts” to say about attaining high growth, this talented group would have said it."


    See the article itself, hat tip to Cafe Hayek,
  3. Tax development

    5 Apr 2008

    It would be interesting to gather data on the development of taxes over the ages, and present them in some nice graphical way for any given country, and compare them over time or between countries; with all types of taxes shown at once (but noting their differences) or choosing only some. To make it not too simple, additional factors could be included (number of exceptions, pages of laws, etc), shown, for example, as hatching of rising density.

    The purpose is to make a good visual presentation of the development of tax systems, showing the changes over the years, removal of some taxes, and introduction of others. Perhaps, it will show a general trend towards higher rates and complexity. (Might have been already done though.)
  4. Belgium closer to splitting

    23 Sep 2007

    Calls for breakup grow louder in Belgium

    " We are two different nations, an artificial state created as a buffer between big powers, and we have nothing in common except a king, chocolate and beer," said Filip Dewinter, the leader of Vlaams Belang, or Flemish Bloc, the extreme-right, xenophobic Flemish party, in an interview. "It's 'bye-bye Belgium' time."

    According to several quoted opinions, the split probably won't happen in the short term, but it's becoming more and more real.

    Besides the ethnic discomfort zones, there is also an economic part of the problem:
    QUOTE
    The economies of the two regions are inextricably intertwined, and separation would be a fiscal nightmare.

    Then there is the issue of the national debt - 90 percent of the Belgian gross domestic product - and how to equitably divide it.

    But there is deep resentment in Flanders that its much-healthier economy must subsidize the Francophone south, where unemployment is double that of the north.
  5. Inflation out of bounds in Zimbabwe

    9 Feb 2007

    As Inflation Soars, Zimbabwe Economy Plunges (hat tip to Cafe Hayek)

    "The trigger of this crisis — hyperinflation — reached an annual rate of 1,281 percent this month, and has been near or over 1,000 percent since last April. Hyperinflation has bankrupted the government, left 8 in 10 citizens destitute and decimated the country’s factories and farms."

    There is quite a dose of dark irony:

    "The central bank’s latest response to these problems, announced this week, was to declare inflation illegal. From March 1 to June 30, anyone who raises prices or wages will be arrested and punished. Only a “firm social contract” to end corruption and restructure the economy will bring an end to the crisis, said the reserve bank governor, Gideon Gono.

    The speech by Mr. Gono, a favorite of Mr. Mugabe, was broadcast nationally. In downtown Harare, the last half was blacked out by a power failure."


    Finally, the article notes that hyperinflation erodes the government’s control over every aspect of public life and, by extension, over its own future. What more can be said?

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